59.6. 0,1 LAWS 1875

and soP(A∩BC)= P(A)−P(A∩B) = P(A)(1−P(B)) = P(A)P

(BC) .

and so BC ∈ G . If {Bi}∞

i=1 are disjoint sets in G ,

P(A∩∪∞k=1Bk) =

∑k=1

P(A∩Bk) = P(A)∞

∑k=1

P(Bk)

= P(A)P(∪∞k=1Bk)

and so ∪∞k=1Bk ∈ G . Therefore by the Lemma on π systems Lemma 12.12.3 on Page 329,

it follows G = σ (K ) = σ(∪∞

k=n+1Fk).

Thus for any B ∈ σ(∪∞

k=n+1Fk)= Tn+1,P(A∩B) = P(A)P(B). However, A is in all

of these Tn+1 and so P(A∩A) = P(A) = P(A)2 so P(A) equals either 0 or 1.What sorts of things are tail events of independent σ algebras?

Theorem 59.6.5 Let {Xk} be a sequence of independent random variables having valuesin Z a Banach space. Then

A≡ {ω : {Xk (ω)} converges}

is a tail event of the independent σ algebras {σ (Xk)} . So is

B≡

{ω :

{∞

∑k=1

Xk (ω)

}converges

}.

Proof: Since Z is complete, A is the same as the set where {Xk (ω)} is a Cauchysequence. This set is

∩∞n=1∩∞

p=1∪∞m=p∩l,k≥m {ω : ||Xk (ω)−Xl (ω)||< 1/n}

Note that

∪∞m=p∩l,k≥m {ω : ||Xk (ω)−Xl (ω)||< 1/n} ∈ σ

(∪∞

j=pσ (X j))

for every p is the set where ultimately any pair of Xk,Xl are closer together than 1/n,

∩∞p=1∪∞

m=p∩l,k≥m {ω : ||Xk (ω)−Xl (ω)||< 1/n}

is a tail event. The set where {Xk (ω)} is a Cauchy sequence is the intersection of all theseand is therefore, also a tail event.

Now consider B. This set is the same as the set where the partial sums are Cauchysequences. Let Sn ≡ ∑

nk=1 Xk. The set where the sum converges is then

∩∞n=1∩∞

p=2∪∞m=p∩l,k≥m {ω : ||Sk (ω)−Sl (ω)||< 1/n}

Say k < l and consider for m≥ p

{ω : ||Sk (ω)−Sl (ω)||< 1/n, k ≥ m}

59.6. 0,1 LAWS 1875and soP(ANB‘) = P(A) — P(ANB) = P(A) (1—P(B)) = P(A) P(B°).and so BC € %. If {B;}*_, are disjoint sets in Y,P(AMB,) = P(A) Y. P(By)MslI>ll~ 7(A) P (Uj Br)and so U;_,B, € Y. Therefore by the Lemma on 7 systems Lemma 12.12.3 on Page 329,it follows Y¥ = 6 (.H) = 6 (UR Fe):Thus for any B € 6 (Ug_,,4; Fk) = Inzi,P (ANB) = P(A) P(B). However, A is in allof these .%,4.; and so P(ANA) = P(A) = P(A)’ so P(A) equals either O or 1.What sorts of things are tail events of independent o algebras?Theorem 59.6.5 Let {X;} be a sequence of independent random variables having valuesin Z a Banach space. ThenA= {q@: {X;(@)} converges}is a tail event of the independent o algebras {0 (X;)}. So isB= {0 : {Exo} comers .k=1Proof: Since Z is complete, A is the same as the set where {X;(@)} is a Cauchysequence. This set isAnat Apt Uin=p U.k>m {@ : ||[X~(@) — X7 (@)|| < 1/n}Note thatUmn=p U,k>m {@ : ||Xx(@) —X1 (@)|| < 1/n} € o (UF_,o (Xj)for every p is the set where ultimately any pair of X;, X; are closer together than 1/n,AUS, Piscem {@ : ||Xx (@) —X,(@)|| < L/n}is a tail event. The set where {X; (@)} is a Cauchy sequence is the intersection of all theseand is therefore, also a tail event.Now consider B. This set is the same as the set where the partial sums are Cauchysequences. Let S, = )7_, Xx. The set where the sum converges is thenM1 M9 UR p Agcsm {0 : |]Sk (@) — $1 (@) || < 1/n}Say k <1 and consider for m > p{@ : ||S,(@) —S)(@)|| < 1/n, k > m}