60.3. OPTIONAL SAMPLING AND STOPPING TIMES 1955

2. Typical set in Fi∩ [T = i] is A∩ [T = i] where A ∈Fi. Then A∩ [T = i]∩ [T = j] ∈F j for all j. If j ̸= i, you get /0 and if j = i, you get A∩ [T = i] ∈ Fi = F j soA∩ [T = i] = B ∈FT and so A∩ [T = i]∩ [T = i] = B∩ [T = i] ∈FT ∩ [T = i].

Now let A ∈FT . Then∫A∩[T=i]

E (X |Fi)dP =∫

A∩[T=i]XdP≡

∫A∩[T=i]

E (X |FT )dP

because the set A∩ [T = i] ∈Fi and is also in FT . A typical set in FT ∩ [T = i] = Fi ∩[T = i] is of this form which was just shown above and so, since this holds for all sets inFT ∩ [T = i] =Fi∩ [T = i] , it must be the case that E (X |Fi) = E (X |FT ) a.e. on [T = i] .The last claim is obvious from this. Indeed, if A ∈FT ∩ [T ≤ i] , then it is of the form

A = B∩∪k≤i [T = k] = ∪k≤iB∩ [T = k]

and each set in the union is in Fi∩ [T ≤ i]. For the other direction, if A ∈Fi∩ [T ≤ i] then

A = ∪k≤iB∩ [T = k] ,B ∈Fi,

and each set in the union is in FT ∩ [T ≤ i] . Now note that if A∈FT , then A∩ [T ≤ i]∈Fiby definition and A∩ [T ≤ i]∩ [T ≤ j] ∈F j ⊆Fi if j ≤ i wile if j > i, this set is equal toA∩ [T ≤ i] which is in Fi and so the same argument above gives the result that E (X |FT ) =E (X |Fi) a.e. on the set [T ≤ i] .

One of the big results is the optional sampling theorem. Suppose Xn is a martingale. Inparticular, each Xn ∈ L1 (Ω) and E (Xn|Fk) = Xk whenever k ≤ n. We can assume Xn hasvalues in some separable Banach space. Then ∥Xn∥ is a submartingale because if k ≤ n,then if A ∈Fk, ∫

AE (∥Xn∥|Fk)dP≥

∫A∥E (Xn|Fk)∥dP =

∫A∥Xk∥dP

Now suppose we have two stopping times τ and σ and τ is bounded meaning it has valuesin {1,2, · · · ,n} . The optional sampling theorem says the following. Here M is a martingale.

M (σ ∧ τ) = E (M (τ) |Fσ )

Furthermore, it all makes sense. First of all, why does it make sense? We need to verifythat M (τ) is integrable.∫

∥M (τ)∥ =n

∑k=1

∫[τ=k]∥M (k)∥=

n

∑k=1

∫[τ=k]∥E (M (n) |Fk)∥

≤n

∑k=1

∫[τ=k]

E (∥M (n)∥|Fk)≤n

∑k=1

∫E (∥M (n)∥|Fk)

=n

∑k=1

E (∥M (n)∥)< ∞

60.3. OPTIONAL SAMPLING AND STOPPING TIMES 19552. Typical set in -F;N[T = i] is AN[T =i] where A € F;. Then AN[T =i N[T = j] €F; for all j. If j £ i, you get O and if j =i, you get AN[T =i] € F; = Fj soANT =i] =Be Fr andso ANT =4N[T =i =BN(T =) € FrN[T =i.Now let A € Fr. Then| E(x|F)aP = | XdP= E(X|Fp)dPANT =i) ANT =i) An [T=]because the set AN [T =i] € .F; and is also in Fr. A typical set in Fp N|[T =i] = FN[T = i] is of this form which was just shown above and so, since this holds for all sets inFrO[T =i] = A,N[T =i), it must be the case that E (X|.F;) = E (X|.Fr) ae. on [T =i].The last claim is obvious from this. Indeed, if A € Ar N[T < i], then it is of the formA = BNUge; [T =k] = Upei BN [T =k]and each set in the union is in 4; [T < i]. For the other direction, if A € F;N[T < i] thenA=UpejBO[T =k], BE Fi,and each set in the union is in #7 M|T < i]. Now note that if A € Fr, then AN[T < i] €.F;by definition and AN|T <i) N[T < j] © F; C F if j <i wile if j > i, this set is equal toANT < i] which is in F; and so the same argument above gives the result that E (X|.Fr) =E (X|F;) ae. on the set [T <i]. ffOne of the big results is the optional sampling theorem. Suppose X,, is a martingale. Inparticular, each X, € L' (Q) and E (X;,|-F,) = X; whenever k <n. We can assume X,, hasvalues in some separable Banach space. Then ||X,,|| is a submartingale because if k <n,then if A € Fx,[EWKl Fd? > [ME %IFo|aP =f [XaPNow suppose we have two stopping times T and o and T is bounded meaning it has valuesin {1,2,--- ,n}. The optional sampling theorem says the following. Here M is a martingale.M(oAt)=E(M(t)|.Fo)Furthermore, it all makes sense. First of all, why does it make sense? We need to verifythat M (7) is integrable.fimo_IM@l=yd [ore FoE (IM (IIL F) < ¥ Je (|M (n) |)l|iM:: =>llmnIAMs=—“—_~—_E(||M(n)I|) <IMsiri