1978 CHAPTER 60. CONDITIONAL, MARTINGALES

60.8 A Reverse Submartingale Convergence TheoremDefinition 60.8.1 Let {Xn}∞

n=0 be a sequence of real random variables such that E (|Xn|)<∞ for all n and let {Fn} be a sequence of σ algebras such that Fn ⊇Fn+1 for all n. Then{Xn} is called a reverse submartingale if for all n,

E (Xn|Fn+1)≥ Xn+1.

Note it is just like a submartingale only the indices are going the other way. Here is aninteresting lemma. This lemma gives uniform integrability for a reverse submartingale.

Lemma 60.8.2 Suppose E (|Xn|) < ∞ for all n, Xn is Fn measurable, Fn+1 ⊆ Fn forall n ∈ N, and there exist X∞ F∞ measurable such that F∞ ⊆ Fn for all n and X0 F0measurable such that F0 ⊇Fn for all n such that for all n ∈ {0,1, · · ·} ,

E (Xn|Fn+1)≥ Xn+1, E (Xn|F∞)≥ X∞,

where E (|X∞|)< ∞. Then {Xn : n ∈ N} is uniformly integrable.

Proof:E (Xn+1)≤ E (E (Xn|Fn+1)) = E (Xn)

Therefore, the sequence {E (Xn)} is a decreasing sequence bounded below by E (X∞) so ithas a limit. I am going to show the functions are equiintegrable. Let k be large enough that∣∣∣E (Xk)− lim

m→∞E (Xm)

∣∣∣< ε (60.8.20)

and suppose n > k. Then if λ > 0,∫[|Xn|≥λ ]

|Xn|dP =∫[Xn≥λ ]

XndP+∫[Xn≤−λ ]

(−Xn)dP

=∫[Xn≥λ ]

XndP+∫

(−Xn)dP−∫[−Xn<λ ]

(−Xn)dP

=∫[Xn≥λ ]

XndP−∫

XndP+∫[−Xn<λ ]

XndP

From 60.8.20,

≤∫[Xn≥λ ]

XndP−∫

XkdP+ ε +∫[−Xn<λ ]

XndP

By assumption,

E (Xk|Fn)≥ Xn

1978 CHAPTER 60. CONDITIONAL, MARTINGALES60.8 A Reverse Submartingale Convergence TheoremDefinition 60.8.1 Let {X,}/) be a sequence of real random variables such that E (\Xn|) <oo for all n and let {.F,} be a sequence of 0 algebras such that Fy, 2 Fy+\ for all n. Then{X,,} is called a reverse submartingale if for all n,E (Xn|-Fr+t) = Xn+l-Note it is just like a submartingale only the indices are going the other way. Here is aninteresting lemma. This lemma gives uniform integrability for a reverse submartingale.Lemma 60.8.2 Suppose E (|X,|) < °c for all n, X, is Fy, measurable, Fys1 C Fy foralln € N, and there exist Xu Foo measurable such that Fo SC Fy for all n and Xo Fomeasurable such that ¥y D Fy for all n such that for alln € {0,1,---},E (Xn| Frat) > Xn41, E (Xn|- Foo) > Xoo,where E (|Xeo|) < °°. Then {X, :n € N} is uniformly integrable.Proof:E (Xne1) SE (E (Xn| Fust)) = E (Xs)Therefore, the sequence {E (X,,)} is a decreasing sequence bounded below by E (X..) so ithas a limit. Iam going to show the functions are equiintegrable. Let k be large enough thatLE (Xe) — lim E (Xn)| <e (60.8.20)and suppose n > k. Then if A > 0,| IX,,| dP = | X,dP-+ (—X,)dP[|Xn|=A] [Xn=A] [Xn<—A]= | X,dP+ | (-x,)dP— | (—X,) dP[Xn=A] Q [-Xn<A]= / x,dP— | x,aP+ | X,dPJX, >A] Q [-Xn<A]From 60.8.20,< | xndP— [ xdP+e+ | X,dPX,>A] Q [-Xn<A]By assumption,E (Xt|Fn) > Xn