802 CHAPTER 29. MARTINGALES

Theorem 29.4.13 Let {X (k)} be a real sub-martingale and let λ > 0 be given.Then

P([max{|Xk| ,k = 1, ...,n}> λ ])≤ 2λ

∫|X (1)|+ |X (n)|dP

Proof: [max{|Xk| ,k = 1, ...,n}> λ ]⊆ [X∗n > λ ]∪ [Xn∗ <−λ ] and so

P([max{|Xk| ,k = 1, ...,n}> λ ]) ≤ 1λ

∫X+

n dP+1λ

∫(|X (1)|+ |X (n)|)dP

≤ 2λ

∫|X (1)|+ |X (n)|dP.■

29.5 Reverse Sub-martingale Convergence TheoremSub-martingale: E (Xn+1|Fn)≥ Xn. Reverse sub-martingale: E (Xn|Fn+1)≥ Xn+1 and herethe Fn are decreasing.

Definition 29.5.1 Let {Xn}∞

n=0 be a sequence of real random variables such thatE (|Xn|)< ∞ for all n and let {Fn} be a sequence of σ algebras such that Fn ⊇Fn+1 forall n. Then {Xn} is called a reverse sub-martingale if for all n,

E (Xn|Fn+1)≥ Xn+1.

Note it is just like a sub-martingale only the indices and σ algebras are going the otherway. Here is an interesting lemma. This lemma gives uniform integrability for a reversesub-martingale. The application I have in mind in the next lemma is that supn E (|Xn|)< ∞

but it is stated more generally and this condition appears to be obtained for free given theexistence of X∞ in the following lemma.

Lemma 29.5.2 Suppose for each n, E (|Xn|) < ∞, Xn is Fn measurable, Fn+1 ⊆Fnfor all n ∈ N, and there exist X∞ F∞ measurable such that F∞ ⊆Fn for all n and X0 F0measurable such that F0 ⊇Fn for all n such that for all n ∈ {0,1, · · ·} ,

E (Xn|Fn+1)≥ Xn+1, E (Xn|F∞)≥ X∞,

where E (|X∞|)< ∞. Then {Xn : n ∈ N} is equi-integrable.

Proof:E (Xn+1)≤ E (E (Xn|Fn+1)) = E (Xn)

Therefore, the sequence {E (Xn)} is a decreasing sequence bounded below by E (X∞) so ithas a limit. I am going to show the functions are equi-integrable. Let k be large enoughthat ∣∣∣E (Xk)− lim

m→∞E (Xm)

∣∣∣< ε (29.11)

and suppose n > k. Then if λ > 0,∫[|Xn|≥λ ]

|Xn|dP =∫[Xn≥λ ]

XndP+∫[Xn≤−λ ]

(−Xn)dP

802 CHAPTER 29. MARTINGALESTheorem 29.4.13 Let {x (k)} be a real sub-martingale and let A > 0 be given.Then2P ({max {|X| k= I,m} > Al) <> f [X()/-+ 1X (o)|aPProof: [max {|X;|,k =1,...,.2} >A] C [Xf > A] U[Xnx < —A] and soP([max {|X;,|,k=1,..,n}>A]) < ~ [stapes [Ux +ix@parlA= [x W+ x @lar29.5 Reverse Sub-martingale Convergence TheoremSub-martingale: E (Xn+41|F%n) > Xn. Reverse sub-martingale: E (X;|-Fn+41) > Xn41 and herethe #,, are decreasing.Definition 29.5.1 Le {Xn}; be a sequence of real random variables such thatE (|Xn|) < ce for all n and let {F,} be a sequence of 0 algebras such that Fy, D> Fy41 forall n. Then {X,} is called a reverse sub-martingale if for all n,E (Xn|-Fn41) = Xn+-Note it is just like a sub-martingale only the indices and o algebras are going the otherway. Here is an interesting lemma. This lemma gives uniform integrability for a reversesub-martingale. The application I have in mind in the next lemma is that sup, E (|Xn|) <but it is stated more generally and this condition appears to be obtained for free given theexistence of X.. in the following lemma.Lemma 29.5.2 Suppose for each n, E (|Xn|) <0, Xn is Fn measurable, Fry+1 © Fnfor alln €N, and there exist Xa Foo measurable such that Fo. CG Fy for all n and Xy Fomeasurable such that ¥y D Fy for all n such that for alln € {0,1,---},E (Xn| Frat) > Xn, E (Xn|-Fo) > Xoo,where E (|Xeo|) < 00. Then {X, :n € N} is equi-integrable.Proof:E (Xnst) $ E(E (Xn) Fut) = E (Xn)Therefore, the sequence {E (X,,)} is a decreasing sequence bounded below by E (X..) so ithas a limit. I am going to show the functions are equi-integrable. Let k be large enoughthatJE (%) — lim E (Xin)m—-°0o<eé (29.11)and suppose n > k. Then if A > 0,i IX,,| dP = [ X,dP + (—X,) dPJ Xn >A] JX 2A) J1Xn<-A]